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IAPE U20 vs Novorizontino U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ferreira K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Copa do Brasil U20 game between IAPE U20 and Novorizontino U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IAPE U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
IAPE U20
44%
Draws
20%
Novorizontino U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino U20 come out ahead of IAPE U20 on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa do Brasil U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
IAPE U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IAPE U20 Novorizontino U20
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
IAPE U20 vs Novorizontino U20
1:0
Nov 12, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Novorizontino U20 vs IAPE U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IAPE U20 34 / 100
Novorizontino U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IAPE U20 Novorizontino U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IAPE U20 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (21 games).

Novorizontino U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: IAPE U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IAPE U20 VS Novorizontino U20
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tocantinopolis U203
Rolim de Moura U200
Paysandu PA U204
Mazagao U201
America MG U201
Vila Nova FC U200
Vasco U203
Cuiaba U200
Fast Clube U201
Monte Roraima U202
IAPE U201
Santa Cruz AC U200
Coritiba U200
Novorizontino U201
Criciuma U201
Operario PR U202
CRB U201
America RN U200
Sport Recife U203
Sergipe U200
Atletico-MG U203
Real Brasilia U200
Flamengo RJ U204
Porto Vitoria U200
Gremio U201
EC Sao Jose (PA) U200
Sao Paulo U208
Operario AC U200
Fortaleza U205
Piaui U200
Bahia U207
Cruzeiro-PB U200
1/8-finals
Tocantinopolis U200
Paysandu PA U206
America MG U204
Vasco U203
Monte Roraima U202
IAPE U203
Novorizontino U204
Operario PR U202
CRB U201
Sport Recife U203
Atletico-MG U203
Flamengo RJ U202
Gremio U201
Sao Paulo U202
Fortaleza U204
Bahia U203
Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA U201
America MG U202
IAPE U202
Novorizontino U201
Sport Recife U202
Atletico-MG U203
Sao Paulo U202
Fortaleza U201
Semi-finals
America MG U206
IAPE U202
Atletico-MG U201
Sao Paulo U203
Final
America MG U201
Sao Paulo U202