Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IAPE vs ITZ Sport

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense
IAPE Logo

IAPE

1 - 0
FT
ITZ Sport Logo

ITZ Sport

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ribeiro R. F.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

IAPE in this Maranhense matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored IAPE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
IAPE
20%
Draws
0%
ITZ Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IAPE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • IAPE have won more games recently than ITZ Sport.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on IAPE taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors IAPE here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
IAPE Clean Sheet 68%
ITZ Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IAPE ITZ Sport
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.09 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Maranhense
IAPE vs ITZ Sport
1:0
Nov 21, 2024 Maranhense 2
IAPE vs ITZ Sport
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Maranhense 2
ITZ Sport vs IAPE
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IAPE 77 / 100
ITZ Sport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IAPE ITZ Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IAPE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: ITZ Sport has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

IAPE's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

ITZ Sport has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

IAPE VS ITZ Sport
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

IAPE

(Home)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
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ITZ Sport

(Away)
01 Feb
Sampaio Correa
6 : 0
ITZ Sport
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
21 Jan
Maranhao
1 : 0
ITZ Sport
17 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 1
Imperatriz
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
2 Maranhao 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
3 Sampaio Correa 7 2 5 0 13:5 11
4 IAPE 7 3 2 2 4:3 11
5 Luminense 7 3 1 3 6:6 10
6 Tuntum 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
7 Imperatriz 7 1 3 3 2:5 6
8 ITZ Sport 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - Maranhense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense (Relegation)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 2027 (Main)