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Ibarra vs Atletico Victoria Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Marrero M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 game between Ibarra and Atletico Victoria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ibarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ibarra
15%
Draws
26%
Atletico Victoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ibarra come out ahead of Atletico Victoria on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Ibarra taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibarra Atletico Victoria
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.36 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Atletico Victoria
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs Ibarra
1:2
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs Ibarra
0:0
Oct 30, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Atletico Victoria
3:0
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs Ibarra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Marrero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Atletico Victoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibarra 59 / 100
Atletico Victoria 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibarra Atletico Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ibarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ibarra scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Atletico Victoria conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ibarra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ibarra VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibarra

(Home)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
Page 1 of 8

Atletico Victoria

(Away)
12 May
Atletico Victoria
2 : 1
San Bartolome
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2
Atletico Victoria
01 May
Atletico Victoria
1 : 3
Teror
27 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
Atletico Victoria
21 Apr
Atletico Victoria
0 : 2
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 34 24 8 2 68:22 80
2 Lanzarote 34 22 9 3 64:28 75
3 Union Sur Yaiza 34 21 11 2 62:19 74
4 Las Palmas B 34 22 8 4 74:24 74
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 52:39 55
6 Arucas 34 11 14 9 51:41 47
7 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 13 11 35:38 43
8 San Bartolome 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
9 Villa Santa Brigida 34 9 14 11 41:36 41
10 Tamaraceite 34 11 8 15 42:56 41
11 CD Marino 34 10 9 15 42:53 39
12 CD Buzanada 34 9 12 13 29:42 39
13 Herbania 34 9 11 14 30:46 38
14 Ibarra 34 9 9 16 35:45 36
15 Atletico Victoria 34 8 8 18 33:53 32
16 Teror 34 6 8 20 29:67 26
17 Gran Tarajal 34 4 12 18 21:54 24
18 CD La Cuadra 34 6 4 24 26:72 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)