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Ibarra vs Herbania Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Olivera F.

AI Match Summary

Ibarra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ibarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ibarra
20%
Draws
29%
Herbania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ibarra have won more games recently than Herbania.
  • Ibarra are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 68%
Herbania Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibarra Herbania
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Herbania
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Ibarra
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Herbania
5:1
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Ibarra
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivera F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Herbania Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibarra 50 / 100
Herbania 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibarra Herbania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ibarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ibarra scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Herbania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Ibarra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Herbania
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibarra

(Home)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

Herbania

(Away)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)