Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iberia 1999 play Torpedo Kutaisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iberia 1999 averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Torpedo Kutaisi averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Iberia 1999 won 1, Torpedo Kutaisi won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Iberia 1999 and 1.38 for Torpedo Kutaisi. This points to a Iberia 1999 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Iberia 1999
23%
Draws
38%
Torpedo Kutaisi
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 picked up more points recently compared to Torpedo Kutaisi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 17%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 Torpedo Kutaisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Super Cup
Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:3
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Iberia 1999
1:0
Oct 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Iberia 1999
3:1
Aug 13, 2025 Georgian Cup
Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghudushauri P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Deisadze D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 39 / 100
Torpedo Kutaisi 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 Torpedo Kutaisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iberia 1999 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iberia 1999 attacking → ← attacking Torpedo Kutaisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iberia 1999 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Torpedo Kutaisi let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Iberia 1999 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Torpedo Kutaisi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 50
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411