Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ibis Sport Club vs Belo Jardim

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Deivide Lucena In: Silva A.
Out: Deivide Lucena
31'
Celestino
46'
Sub
Thomays In: Danilo Bala
Out: Thomays

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2023 game between Ibis Sport Club and Belo Jardim finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ibis Sport Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ibis Sport Club
22%
Draws
60%
Belo Jardim
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belo Jardim come out ahead of Ibis Sport Club on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Belo Jardim taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Belo Jardim have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ibis Sport Club Clean Sheet 15%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibis Sport Club Belo Jardim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2023 Pernambucano
Ibis Sport Club vs Belo Jardim
2:0
Aug 31, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Ibis Sport Club vs Belo Jardim
1:4
Aug 20, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Ibis Sport Club
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibis Sport Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Thoni Brandao
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Belo Jardim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibis Sport Club 19 / 100
Belo Jardim 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibis Sport Club Belo Jardim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ibis Sport Club found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Belo Jardim conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Ibis Sport Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ibis Sport Club VS Belo Jardim
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibis Sport Club

(Home)
24 Aug
Ibis Sport Club
0 : 2
Ipojuca
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
10 Aug
Ibis Sport Club
1 : 2
Centro Limoeirense
04 Aug
Atletico PE
1 : 3
Ibis Sport Club
27 Jul
Ibis Sport Club
1 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Belo Jardim

(Away)
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
20 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 1
Belo Jardim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Recife1293029:630
2Retro1283124:527
3Nautico1274120:825
4Petrolina1254315:1219
5Santa Cruz1246215:1318
6Salgueiro1244411:1116
7Central SC1235412:1514
8CA Porto122826:514
9Maguary1227312:1413
10Ibis Sport Club1233613:2212
11Afogados da Ingazeira1225513:1911
12Belo Jardim121299:265
13Caruaru1202104:272
Promotion - Pernambucano 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2023 (Play Offs)