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Ibri vs Al-Samail

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Lamki M.
6' Event
Al Mandhari A.
23' Event
Al-Farsi A. K.

AI Match Summary

Al-Samail in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Samail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ibri
20%
Draws
40%
Al-Samail
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ibri lately — more wins on the board than Al-Samail.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ibri have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ibri Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Samail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibri Al-Samail
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.16 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Professional League
Ibri vs Al-Samail
4:0
Apr 17, 2026 Professional League
Ibri vs Al-Samail
2:3
Dec 19, 2025 Professional League
Al-Samail vs Ibri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibri Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mandhari A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elloh Nze L. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Samail Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Farsi A. K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Lamki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibri 41 / 100
Al-Samail 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibri Al-Samail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ibri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Ibri's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al-Samail's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al-Samail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ibri VS Al-Samail
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibri

(Home)
10 Sept
Ibri
1 : 2
Saham
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al-Samail
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
23 May
Al Seeb
7 : 1
Ibri
Page 1 of 7

Al-Samail

(Away)
10 Sept
Al-Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al-Samail
31 Aug
Al-Samail
1 : 0
Saham
25 Aug
Al-Samail
0 : 2
Oman Club
23 May
Al-Samail
0 : 1
Bahla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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