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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Akranes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur, Vestmannaeyjar
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Haraldsson H.
Assist: Gislason J. G. E.
48' Event
Ellertsson M. P.
Assist: Jonsson V.
62'
Sub
Pisco In: Ragnarsson H.
Out: Pisco

AI Match Summary

Akranes in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akranes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
35%
Draws
52%
Akranes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akranes lately — more wins on the board than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%
Akranes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Akranes
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.42 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Akranes
1:3
May 21, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Akranes
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Akranes
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowe O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraldsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellertsson M. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 30 / 100
Akranes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Akranes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: IBV Vestmannaeyjar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Akranes
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Akranes

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)