Sport Picks

Iceland

Besta deild karla 2025 Hasteinsvollur

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

3 - 4

KA Akureyri

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Steingrimsson H.

23'

Valor V.

Assist: Heidarsson O.

24'

Stole I.

Assist: Sigurgeirsson A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KA Akureyri in this Besta deild karla 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored KA Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

28%

Draws

22%

KA Akureyri

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to KA Akureyri lately — more wins on the board than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 14%

KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	KA Akureyri
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	8	11
Draws	7	4
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	2.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Besta deild karla

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

May 10, 2026 Besta deild karla

KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Oct 25, 2025 Besta deild karla

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

3:4

Aug 10, 2025 Besta deild karla

KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

May 18, 2025 Besta deild karla

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Valor V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ragnarsson H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Stole I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Petursson M. M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 48 / 100

KA Akureyri 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

IBV Vestmannaeyjar KA Akureyri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VES Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

KA Akureyri let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS KA Akureyri

2.25 Goals Scored 1.63

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KA Akureyri	27	11	6	10	45:49	39
2	Akranes	27	11	1	15	37:50	34
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	27	9	6	12	34:37	33
4	KR Reykjavik	27	8	7	12	55:62	31
5	Vestri	27	8	5	14	26:44	29
6	Afturelding	27	6	9	12	36:46	27