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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IBV Vestmannaeyjar play KR Reykjavik in the Besta deild karla. It looks like a close match. Recently, IBV Vestmannaeyjar averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. KR Reykjavik averaged 2.75 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 2, KR Reykjavik won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2026 ended 2:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar and 2.13 for KR Reykjavik. This points to a KR Reykjavik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
6%
Draws
4%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KR Reykjavik has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Besta deild karla provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik
2:6
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik
2:1
May 14, 2025 Icelandic Cup
KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:4
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Valgeirsson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hardarson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdarson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tomasson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 83 / 100
KR Reykjavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar KR Reykjavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

KR Reykjavik let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

KR Reykjavik lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS KR Reykjavik
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik1492348:3429
3Fram1383232:2527
4Breidablik1364332:2522
5Valur1461724:2719
6Keflavik1344518:2416
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1343622:2615
9Akranes1343617:2515
10KA Akureyri1331919:2810
11Hafnarfjordur1315718:318
12Thor Akureyri1322914:358