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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Veldman M.
42'
Gunnarsson B.
55'
Antonsson B.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Valur finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
6%
Draws
4%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valur have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — IBV Vestmannaeyjar are scoring more at 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on IBV Vestmannaeyjar taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 17%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Valur
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
4:1
Jun 19, 2025 Icelandic Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
0:1
May 24, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilmarsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Valur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 84 / 100
Valur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Valur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Valur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: IBV Vestmannaeyjar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Valur
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik15102353:3632
3Fram1493238:2630
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1561824:2919
6Keflavik1444619:2616
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1443724:3115
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1441922:3013
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri14221015:418