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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur, Vestmannaeyjar
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Veldman M.
42'
Gunnarsson B.
55'
Antonsson B.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Valur finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
35%
Draws
52%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • IBV Vestmannaeyjar haven't matched Valur's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Valur taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 13%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Valur
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.44 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
4:1
Jun 19, 2025 Icelandic Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilmarsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Valur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 / 100
Valur 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: IBV Vestmannaeyjar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Valur
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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Valur

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)