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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Borgthorsson O.
Assist: Omarsson E.
56' Event
Sigurdsson G.
59'
Sub
Stuparevic F. In: Hlynsson R.
Out: Stuparevic F.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Vikingur Reykjavik finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
39%
Draws
31%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vikingur Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 2.29 3
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:2
Jul 5, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Icelandic Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:0
Apr 7, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:0
Jul 30, 2023 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgthorsson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 29 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: IBV Vestmannaeyjar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Vikingur Reykjavik has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Vikingur Reykjavik
2.29 Goals Scored 3
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
43% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik15131149:1140
2Fram15103241:2833
3KR Reykjavik15102353:3632
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1444619:2616
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1443724:3115
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1441922:3013
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211