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Icasa vs Cariri FC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Araujo V.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Icasa and Cariri FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cariri FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Icasa
22%
Draws
18%
Cariri FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Icasa come out ahead of Cariri FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Icasa a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Icasa Clean Sheet 68%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Icasa Cariri FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Icasa
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 15, 2024 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Icasa
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Cariri FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Icasa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Icasa 68 / 100
Cariri FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Icasa Cariri FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Icasa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Cariri FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Icasa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Icasa VS Cariri FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124