Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Icasa vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estadio Mauro Sampaio (Romeirao), Juazeiro do Norte
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Eudes
45' Event
Andrei Ramalho
76' Event
Tiaguinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Icasa
30%
Draws
39%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Icasa come out ahead of Crateus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Icasa a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Icasa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Icasa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Icasa Clean Sheet 68%
Crateus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Icasa Crateus
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 13 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Crateus
3:0
May 24, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Icasa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrei Ramalho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiaguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Crateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Icasa 77 / 100
Crateus 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Icasa Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Icasa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Icasa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Crateus has conceded goals in 42% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Icasa VS Crateus
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Icasa

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Icasa -
TBD -
Crateus 1
Cariri FC 0
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Crato 3
Guarany SC 1
Semi-finals
Icasa 3
Crateus 0
Itapipoca 4
Crato 2
Final
Icasa 1
Itapipoca 2