Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U17 2026

Iceland U17

0 - 4

Italy U17

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Karason S. In: Thorsteinsson B.

Out: Karason S.

Perillo D.

Assist: Biondini E.

25'

Biondini E.

Assist: Okon-Engstler G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 in this Euro U17 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Iceland U17

20%

Draws

44%

Italy U17

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence

Italy U17 have won more games recently than Iceland U17.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Italy U17 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Iceland U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iceland U17	Italy U17
Matches Played	29	34
Wins	13	23
Draws	7	3
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.76	2.21
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.54	1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Euro U17

Iceland U17 vs Italy U17

0:4

Aug 13, 2024 Friendly International

Italy U17 vs Iceland U17

4:3

Mar 13, 2018 Euro U17

Iceland U17 vs Italy U17

0:1

Oct 20, 2014 Euro U17

Italy U17 vs Iceland U17

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18

Avg xA / game 0.77

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perillo D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Biondini E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.57

Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U17 30 / 100

Italy U17 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iceland U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Iceland U17 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Italy U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Iceland U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U17 VS Italy U17

1.83 Goals Scored 1.63

1.83 Goals Conceded 1.25

83% Over 1.5 88%

83% Over 2.5 63%

67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U17

(Home)

26 Sept

Iceland U17

3 : 1

Bosnia & Herzegovina U17

23 Sept

Iceland U17

4 : 0

Gibraltar U17

31 Mar

Portugal U17

1 : 2

Iceland U17

28 Mar

Iceland U17

0 : 4

Italy U17

25 Mar

Iceland U17

2 : 5

Romania U17

Page 1 of 6

Italy U17

(Away)

26 Sept

Italy U17

3 : 3

Turkey U17

30 Aug

Hungary U17

1 : 3

Italy U17

26 Aug

Italy U17

3 : 3

Turkey U17

07 Jun

Belgium U17

1 : 2

Italy U17

04 Jun

Italy U17

2 : 1

Spain U17

Page 1 of 7