Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iceland U19 vs Moldova U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Obiscalov S.
Assist: Aronsson D.
Own Goal
45'
Gudmundsson G.
46'
Sub
Fortuna N. In: Graminschii I.
Out: Fortuna N.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2025 game between Iceland U19 and Moldova U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iceland U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Iceland U19
30%
Draws
34%
Moldova U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iceland U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Moldova U19 have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Iceland U19 are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Iceland U19 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Iceland U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Moldova U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U19 Moldova U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Euro U19
Iceland U19 vs Moldova U19
1:0
Nov 20, 2018 Euro U19
Moldova U19 vs Iceland U19
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U19 36 / 100
Moldova U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U19 Moldova U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U19's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Moldova U19 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Iceland U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U19 VS Moldova U19
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U19

(Home)
09 Jun
Georgia U19
2 : 3
Iceland U19
06 Jun
Iceland U19
1 : 1
Montenegro U19
31 Mar
Morocco U18
2 : 1
Iceland U19
28 Mar
Portugal U18
4 : 0
Iceland U19
26 Mar
Iceland U19
1 : 2
USA U18
Page 1 of 6

Moldova U19

(Away)
31 Mar
Moldova U19
1 : 1
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 2
Moldova U19
25 Mar
Netherlands U19
1 : 0
Moldova U19
18 Nov
Moldova U19
1 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19
15 Nov
Poland U19
2 : 1
Moldova U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U1933005:09
2Slovenia U1932013:36
3Kazakhstan U1931023:53
4Ukraine U1930031:40
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U1933007:29
2Hungary U1932015:36
3Cyprus U1931023:63
4Andorra U1930030:40
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U1932103:17
2Belgium U1931205:25
3Bulgaria U1931114:34
4Lithuania U1930031:70
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U19330013:09
2Turkey U1932019:36
3Malta U1931022:93
4Gibraltar U1930031:130
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U1932109:17
2Wales U1932017:26
3Scotland U1931114:14
4Liechtenstein U1930030:160
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czech Republic U1932015:36
2Finland U1932018:36
3Switzerland U1932015:16
4San Marino U1930030:110
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ireland U1932106:17
2Iceland U1932014:26
3Moldova U1930212:32
4Azerbaijan U1930122:81
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U1933007:09
2Montenegro U1932016:56
3Greece U1931025:63
4Bosnia & Herzegovina U1930034:110
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U1933007:49
2Georgia U1931115:54
3Estonia U1931114:44
4Sweden U1930033:60
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria U1932018:16
2Spain U1932017:46
3Kosovo U1932016:76
4Faroe Islands U1930030:90
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U1933008:29
2Israel U19320111:46
3Northern Ireland U1931022:73
4Albania U1930030:80
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia U1932015:36
2Luxembourg U1931115:54
3Latvia U1931115:44
4North Macedonia U1930212:52
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia U1932107:27
2Croatia U1932016:36
3Belarus U1931115:54
4Armenia U1930031:90
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams