Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík

Iceland

3 - 5

Ukraine

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Malinovskyi R.

Assist: Mykolenko V.

35'

Ellertsson M. E.

Assist: Johannesson I.

39'

Sub

Sudakov G. In: Voloshyn N.

Out: Sudakov G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ukraine in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Iceland

20%

Draws

65%

Ukraine

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ukraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Ukraine have won more games recently than Iceland.
Model gives Ukraine a 65% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Iceland Clean Sheet 10%

Ukraine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iceland	Ukraine
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	14
Draws	4	6
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	1.53	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship

Ukraine vs Iceland

2:0

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Iceland vs Ukraine

3:5

Mar 26, 2024 Euro

Ukraine vs Iceland

2:1

Sep 5, 2017 World Championship

Iceland vs Ukraine

2:0

Sep 5, 2016 World Championship

Ukraine vs Iceland

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ellertsson M. E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Ukraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinovskyi R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gutsulyak O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland 14 / 100

Ukraine 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iceland Ukraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Iceland found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Ukraine has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Iceland stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland VS Ukraine

1.88 Goals Scored 1.63

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland

(Home)

10 Jun

Argentina

3 : 0

Iceland

31 May

Japan

1 : 0

Iceland

31 Mar

Haiti

1 : 1

Iceland

28 Mar

Canada

2 : 2

Iceland

26 Feb

Mexico

4 : 0

Iceland

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Ukraine

(Away)

07 Jun

Denmark

2 : 1

Ukraine

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Ukraine

1 : 0

Albania

26 Mar

Ukraine

1 : 3

Sweden

16 Nov

Ukraine

2 : 0

Iceland

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