Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iceland W vs Norway W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Throttarvollur
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Boe Risa V. In: Kielland J.
Out: Boe Risa V.
67'
Sub
Eiriksdottir H. In: Jessen S.
Out: Eiriksdottir H.
67'
Sub
Antonsdottir H. In: Hauksdottir A.
Out: Antonsdottir H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Iceland W
6%
Draws
90%
Norway W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Norway W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Norway W have won more games recently than Iceland W.
  • Norway W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 12%
Norway W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland W Norway W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2025 Euro Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
4:3
May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Iceland W vs Norway W
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 Tournoi de France Women
Iceland W vs Norway W
0:0
Jan 23, 2018 Friendly International Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland W 10 / 100
Norway W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland W Norway W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Norway W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Iceland W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland W VS Norway W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany W651026:416
2Netherlands W632111:1011
3Austria W62045:166
4Scotland W60153:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France W660014:218
2Norway W62224:58
3Iceland W60426:94
4Switzerland W60244:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain W650121:815
2England W631216:610
3Belgium W62049:166
4Portugal W61145:214
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden W633013:612
2Italy W631211:710
3Denmark W63038:139
4Wales W60244:102