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Ideal FC vs America Mineiro

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
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AI Match Summary

Ideal FC play America Mineiro in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008. America Mineiro are favorites here. Recently, Ideal FC averaged 0.81 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. America Mineiro averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Ideal FC won 0, America Mineiro won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2008 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Ideal FC and 1.50 for America Mineiro. This points to a America Mineiro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Ideal FC
22%
Draws
64%
America Mineiro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: America Mineiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ideal FC picked up more points recently compared to America Mineiro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Ideal FC Clean Sheet 16%
America Mineiro Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ideal FC America Mineiro
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 3
Goals Scored 0.81 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2008 Mineiro 2
America Mineiro vs Ideal FC
2:1
Feb 26, 2008 Mineiro 2
Ideal FC vs America Mineiro
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ideal FC 16 / 100
America Mineiro 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ideal FC America Mineiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America Mineiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick America Mineiro & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ideal FC attacking → ← attacking America Mineiro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ideal FC scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

America Mineiro let in goals in 35% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ideal FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

America Mineiro lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 41
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America Mineiro20125333:1441
2Uberlandia20106425:1236
3Caldense20112729:2035
4EC Itauna2087521:1531
5Araxa2069521:2127
6Pocos de Caldas20411522:2423
7URT20411528:2923
8Ideal FC20641021:2922
9Formiga EC20641017:2622
10Valeriodoce2048818:2120
11Uniao Luziense20431321:4515