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Stadium Background

Idoya vs CD Lourdes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Lourdes in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Lourdes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Idoya
15%
Draws
64%
CD Lourdes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Lourdes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Lourdes at 1.03 per game, Idoya at 0.93.
  • Idoya are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Lourdes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Idoya Clean Sheet 20%
CD Lourdes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Idoya CD Lourdes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Lourdes
2:3
Dec 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs Idoya
1:2
Feb 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs Idoya
2:1
Oct 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Lourdes
1:3
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Lourdes
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Idoya 42 / 100
CD Lourdes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Idoya CD Lourdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Lourdes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Idoya found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: CD Lourdes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Lourdes
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Idoya

(Home)
13 May
CD Corellano
1 : 0
Idoya
05 May
Idoya
1 : 2
CD Ardoi
28 Apr
Huarte
3 : 2
Idoya
22 Apr
Idoya
1 : 1
Mutilvera
14 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Idoya
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CD Lourdes

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Lourdes
1 : 3
CD Sant Jordi
27 Sept
CD Sant Jordi
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
26 Jun
CD Lourdes
4 : 1
Txantrea
19 Jun
Subiza
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
12 Jun
CD Lourdes
2 : 3
CD River Ega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)