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Ifira Blackbird vs PNG Hekari

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2025 National Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ifira Blackbird play PNG Hekari in the OFC Champions League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ifira Blackbird averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. PNG Hekari averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Ifira Blackbird won 0, PNG Hekari won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Ifira Blackbird and 1.31 for PNG Hekari. This points to a PNG Hekari double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ifira Blackbird
19%
Draws
41%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: PNG Hekari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ifira Blackbird picked up more points recently compared to PNG Hekari.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Ifira Blackbird Clean Sheet 18%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ifira Blackbird PNG Hekari
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 OFC Champions League
Ifira Blackbird vs PNG Hekari
1:1
May 15, 2023 OFC Champions League
Ifira Blackbird vs PNG Hekari
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ifira Blackbird Compare

Top Goalscorer Tasip J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ifira Blackbird 40 / 100
PNG Hekari 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ifira Blackbird PNG Hekari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: PNG Hekari or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ifira Blackbird attacking → ← attacking PNG Hekari

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ifira Blackbird scored in 87% of their last 15 games.

PNG Hekari let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ifira Blackbird went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

PNG Hekari lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City32104:17
2Tiga Sport31115:54
3Pirae31112:24
4Rewa30123:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PNG Hekari321013:17
2Ifira Blackbird31205:25
3Central Coast31118:44
4Tupapa30030:190