Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Goteborg vs Elfsborg

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Goteborg host Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: IFK Goteborg at 1.61 goals for, 1.77 against; Elfsborg at 1.41 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Elfsborg slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Elfsborg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
IFK Goteborg
15%
Draws
40%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Goteborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Elfsborg have won more games recently than IFK Goteborg.
  • IFK Goteborg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Elfsborg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 16%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Goteborg Elfsborg
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg
2:0
Jul 28, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg
4:3
Jul 12, 2025 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Elfsborg
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg
3:1
Jun 1, 2024 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Elfsborg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Goteborg 39 / 100
Elfsborg 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Goteborg Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Goteborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

IFK Goteborg's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Elfsborg let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: IFK Goteborg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Goteborg VS Elfsborg
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Goteborg

(Home)
13 Aug
Gent
1 : 1
IFK Goteborg
09 Aug
IFK Goteborg
3 : 2
Kalmar
06 Aug
IFK Goteborg
0 : 1
Gent
02 Aug
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
30 Jul
Levadia
1 : 3
IFK Goteborg
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Elfsborg

(Away)
14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0
Vasteras SK
08 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Elfsborg
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 16 13 3 0 44:19 42
2 Hammarby 16 9 3 4 36:15 30
3 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 24:18 27
4 Djurgarden 15 8 2 5 33:16 26
5 Hacken 16 6 7 3 28:26 25
6 AIK 16 7 4 5 22:24 25
7 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 25:32 25
8 GAIS 16 6 5 5 21:15 23
9 Malmo FF 16 7 2 7 31:27 23
10 IFK Goteborg 16 5 4 7 22:35 19
11 Kalmar 16 5 3 8 21:24 18
12 Brommapojkarna 16 4 6 6 22:26 18
13 Mjallby 15 4 5 6 20:20 17
14 Degerfors 16 3 4 9 14:27 13
15 Orgryte 16 3 4 9 20:37 13
16 Halmstad 16 1 4 11 11:33 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)