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IFK Karlshamn vs Staffanstorp United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Karlshamn host Staffanstorp United in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. IFK Karlshamn have averaged 1.14 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Staffanstorp United's 1.73 scored and 1.77 conceded. Past meetings favor IFK Karlshamn slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.25) point toward Staffanstorp United. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
IFK Karlshamn
15%
Draws
59%
Staffanstorp United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Staffanstorp United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Staffanstorp United's 1.73 goals per match outpaces what IFK Karlshamn have produced (1.14).
  • Model gives Staffanstorp United a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 10%
Staffanstorp United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Karlshamn Staffanstorp United
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 7 7
Draws 2 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Staffanstorp United vs IFK Karlshamn
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Karlshamn 10 / 100
Staffanstorp United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Karlshamn Staffanstorp United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Staffanstorp United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staffanstorp United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

IFK Karlshamn scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

IFK Karlshamn has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IFK Karlshamn VS Staffanstorp United
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Karlshamn

(Home)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
13 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 2
Torns
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
Page 1 of 6

Staffanstorp United

(Away)
02 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 0
Solvesborgs
26 Sept
Nosaby IF
3 : 0
Staffanstorp United
18 Sept
Staffanstorp United
2 : 2
Osterlen FF
12 Sept
Linero IF
0 : 2
Staffanstorp United
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)