Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Lulea vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Steglander D.

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
IFK Lulea
15%
Draws
21%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Boden haven't matched IFK Lulea's recent run of results.
  • Model gives IFK Lulea a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 16%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Lulea Boden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
1:0
Aug 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
0:1
Jun 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
1:4
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Lulea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Steglander D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Lulea 84 / 100
Boden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Lulea Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Lulea found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Boden has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: IFK Lulea stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Lulea VS Boden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Lulea

(Home)
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
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Boden

(Away)
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 10 8 0 2 27:12 47
2 Skelleftea 10 5 3 2 19:15 45
3 IFK Lulea 10 6 0 4 15:14 43
4 IFK Ostersund 9 5 2 2 25:14 34
5 Taftea IK 9 3 0 6 15:20 34
6 Boden 10 4 2 4 13:20 31
7 Gottne IF 10 1 2 7 13:23 28
8 Lucksta IF 10 2 1 7 13:22 25
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)