Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Malmo vs Osterlen FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between IFK Malmo and Osterlen FF finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
IFK Malmo
35%
Draws
46%
Osterlen FF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Osterlen FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Osterlen FF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Osterlen FF a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
IFK Malmo Clean Sheet 20%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Malmo Osterlen FF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs IFK Malmo
3:2
Jun 17, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Osterlen FF
4:3
Mar 26, 2022 Club Friendly
IFK Malmo vs Osterlen FF
2:3
Nov 20, 2021 Division 1 - Södra
Osterlen FF vs IFK Malmo
3:3
Jun 30, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Osterlen FF vs IFK Malmo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Malmo 12 / 100
Osterlen FF 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Malmo Osterlen FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osterlen FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Osterlen FF conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: IFK Malmo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: IFK Malmo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Osterlen FF
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Malmo

(Home)
31 Jan
Olympic
0 : 0
IFK Malmo
22 Oct
IFK Malmo
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
15 Oct
Osterlen FF
3 : 2
IFK Malmo
07 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 1
IFK Malmo
30 Sept
IFK Malmo
1 : 7
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

Osterlen FF

(Away)
18 Sept
Staffanstorp United
2 : 2
Osterlen FF
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
22 Aug
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)