Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Ostersund vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Burgin J.
48' Event
Lundback J.
75' Event
Johansson F.

AI Match Summary

Pitea in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
IFK Ostersund
17%
Draws
13%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Pitea haven't matched IFK Ostersund's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on IFK Ostersund taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pitea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 15%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Ostersund Pitea
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Pitea
0:3
Aug 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Pitea vs IFK Ostersund
3:0
Oct 11, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Pitea
0:2
Jun 21, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Pitea vs IFK Ostersund
0:0
Jul 7, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Pitea
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Ostersund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lundback J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Ostersund 66 / 100
Pitea 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Ostersund Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Ostersund went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

IFK Ostersund scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Pitea conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

IFK Ostersund VS Pitea
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Ostersund

(Home)
21 Jun
Umea FF
1 : 1
IFK Ostersund
14 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 1
Kubikenborgs
10 Jun
Fransta IK
1 : 2
IFK Ostersund
06 Jun
IFK Ostersund
0 : 0
Friska Viljor
03 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 0
Kubikenborgs
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Pitea

(Away)
24 Jun
Karlbergs
3 : 1
Pitea
21 Jun
Pitea
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
07 Jun
Pitea
0 : 2
Enkopings SK
03 Jun
Ostra Ersboda
2 : 3
Pitea
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pitea1292129:935
2IFK Ostersund1272325:1929
3Skelleftea1246228:1722
4IFK Lulea1252522:2119
5Kubikenborgs1242615:2016
6Gottne IF1241713:2313
7Umea FC Akademi12111013:368
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra 2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)