Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Umea vs Skelleftea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Nylander A.
51' Event
Mattsson V.
60' Event
Mattsson V.

AI Match Summary

Skelleftea in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
IFK Umea
30%
Draws
70%
Skelleftea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • IFK Umea haven't matched Skelleftea's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Skelleftea's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Skelleftea have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Skelleftea
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 13
Draws 3 11
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.79 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs IFK Umea
3:0
May 2, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Skelleftea
0:5
Aug 16, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs IFK Umea
2:1
Apr 25, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Skelleftea
0:0
Jul 4, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Skelleftea
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattsson V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toro H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 10 / 100
Skelleftea 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Skelleftea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skelleftea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skelleftea let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

IFK Umea scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Away concern: Skelleftea has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS Skelleftea
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Umea

(Home)
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
26 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
15 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 2
Storfors AIK
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Skelleftea

(Away)
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
22 Aug
Gottne IF
2 : 2
Skelleftea
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)