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IFK Umea vs Storfors AIK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Richard O.
52' Event
Jonsson L.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Wimbabazi K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Umea and Storfors AIK finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Storfors AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
IFK Umea
20%
Draws
70%
Storfors AIK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Storfors AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • IFK Umea haven't matched Storfors AIK's recent run of results.
  • Storfors AIK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Storfors AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Storfors AIK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.86 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.86 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs IFK Umea
1:1
Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Storfors AIK
1:2
Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Storfors AIK
2:1
May 17, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs IFK Umea
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Storfors AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wimbabazi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 10 / 100
Storfors AIK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Storfors AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Storfors AIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Storfors AIK conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

IFK Umea's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

IFK Umea went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS Storfors AIK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Umea

(Home)
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
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Storfors AIK

(Away)
04 Oct
Fransta IK
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Sept
Storfors AIK
0 : 3
Friska Viljor
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 1
Storfors AIK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 9 6 1 2 22:14 31
2 Umea FC Akademi 9 5 1 3 27:15 27
3 Storfors AIK 9 5 1 3 15:11 24
4 Fransta IK 9 5 0 4 19:18 24
5 Umea FF 9 4 0 5 18:20 23
6 IFK Umea 9 0 1 8 8:31 5
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation)