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Igaci vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Municipal Zequinha Barbosa, Igaci
Wed, Feb 5, 2025
0 - 3
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Alagoas 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Igaci have averaged 0.81 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Murici's 1.27 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Murici slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 2.25, favoring Murici. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Igaci
15%
Draws
85%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Murici have won more games recently than Igaci.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Murici taking it.
  • Murici arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Murici, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56.6%
Igaci Clean Sheet 10%
Murici Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igaci Murici
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Alagoano
Murici vs Igaci
3:0
Feb 5, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Igaci vs Murici
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igaci 10 / 100
Murici 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igaci Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murici Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Murici has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Igaci scored in 31% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Murici conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Igaci VS Murici
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Igaci

(Home)
12 Mar
Igaci
0 : 3
CRB
01 Mar
SC Penedense
3 : 0
Igaci
19 Feb
Igaci
0 : 3
Coruripe
12 Feb
Zumbi
3 : 0
Igaci
08 Feb
Murici
3 : 0
Igaci
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Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Penedense 6 4 1 1 19:3 13
2 Coruripe 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
3 CRB 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
4 Zumbi 6 3 2 1 12:3 11
5 Murici 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
6 Dimensao Capela 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 6 6 0 0 11:1 18
2 CSA 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
3 ASA 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
4 Guarany Alagoano 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
5 Igaci 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
6 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 6 0 0 6 1:29 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)