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Igaci vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Municipal Zequinha Barbosa, Igaci
Wed, Feb 5, 2025
0 - 3
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Alagoas 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Igaci have averaged 0 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Murici's 1.5 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Murici slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 2.25, favoring Murici. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Igaci
6%
Draws
90%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Murici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Murici have won more games recently than Igaci.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Murici taking it.
  • Murici arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Murici, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56.6%
Igaci Clean Sheet 10%
Murici Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igaci Murici
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Alagoano
Murici vs Igaci
3:0
Feb 5, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Igaci vs Murici
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igaci 10 / 100
Murici 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igaci Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Murici has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Igaci scored in 31% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Murici conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Igaci VS Murici
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Igaci

(Home)
12 Mar
Igaci
0 : 3
CRB
01 Mar
SC Penedense
3 : 0
Igaci
19 Feb
Igaci
0 : 3
Coruripe
12 Feb
Zumbi
3 : 0
Igaci
08 Feb
Murici
3 : 0
Igaci
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Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Penedense641119:313
2Coruripe64027:312
3CRB632113:211
4Zumbi632112:311
5Murici631212:710
6Dimensao Capela62046:136
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva660011:118
2CSA62315:59
3ASA62138:57
4Guarany Alagoano61236:115
5Igaci60060:180
6Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense60061:290
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)