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Igea Virtus vs Ebolitana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Igea Virtus Logo

Igea Virtus

1 - 0
FT
Ebolitana Logo

Ebolitana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Igea Virtus and Ebolitana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Igea Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Igea Virtus
30%
Draws
31%
Ebolitana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Igea Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Igea Virtus are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 16%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus Ebolitana
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.44 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Ebolitana
1:0
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Ebolitana vs Igea Virtus
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 48 / 100
Ebolitana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus Ebolitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igea Virtus found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Ebolitana has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Igea Virtus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS Ebolitana
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
Page 1 of 7

Ebolitana

(Away)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)