Sport Picks
Igea Virtus vs S. Agata Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 
Match Events
26'
26'
Balsano E.
41'
41'
Di Piedi F.
80'
80'
Calafiore C.
AI Match Summary
Igea Virtus in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Igea Virtus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igea Virtus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Igea Virtus have won more games recently than S. Agata.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Igea Virtus have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Igea Virtus | S. Agata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs S. Agata
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Igea Virtus
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs S. Agata
2:0
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Igea Virtus
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Igea Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Balsano E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calafiore C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
S. Agata Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Piedi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Igea Virtus 41 / 100
S. Agata 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Igea Virtus S. Agata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
S. Agata let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Igea Virtus scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Igea Virtus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Igea Virtus VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Igea Virtus
(Home) 27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0 Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3 Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3 Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2 Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2 Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3 Vibonese
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2 Calcio Avola
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1 Vibonese
29 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 2 Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 3
S. Agata
(Away) 11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2 S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2 S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3 Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1 S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1 Pompei
Page 1 of 6
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2 S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2 S. Agata
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1 S. Agata
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2 S. Agata
23 Mar
Nissa
3 : 2 S. Agata
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siracusa | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 65:16 | 78 |
| 2 | Reggina | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 65:22 | 77 |
| 3 | Scafatese | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 58:26 | 65 |
| 4 | Sambiase | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 54 |
| 5 | Vibonese | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 44:31 | 50 |
| 6 | Nissa | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 48:49 | 46 |
| 7 | Paterno | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 26:32 | 44 |
| 8 | USD Ragusa | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37:37 | 38 |
| 9 | Pompei | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 29:42 | 38 |
| 10 | Igea Virtus | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 11 | Sancataldese | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 28:40 | 35 |
| 12 | Enna | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 21:39 | 35 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:50 | 34 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 32 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 27:40 | 30 |
| 15 | Licata | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 33:55 | 28 |
| 16 | S. Agata | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40:54 | 27 |
| 17 | Locri 1909 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 32:57 | 24 |
| 18 | Akragas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)
