Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igilik vs Akademiya Ontustik

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kan G.
41' Event
Daniyarov B.
88'
Kan G.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Igilik and Akademiya Ontustik finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Igilik
11%
Draws
80%
Akademiya Ontustik
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Akademiya Ontustik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Akademiya Ontustik are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Akademiya Ontustik here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Igilik Clean Sheet 18%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igilik Akademiya Ontustik
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2022 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Igilik
1:4
Jul 16, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Akademiya Ontustik
1:2
Aug 28, 2021 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Igilik
7:0
May 10, 2021 First League
Igilik vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igilik Compare

Top Goalscorer Kan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniyarov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maulen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igilik 12 / 100
Akademiya Ontustik 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igilik Akademiya Ontustik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Akademiya Ontustik conceded in 79% of 38 recent games.

Igilik found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Igilik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Akademiya Ontustik
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717