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Igilik vs FK Kyran

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Igilik play FK Kyran in the First Division 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Igilik averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. FK Kyran averaged 1.59 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Igilik won 1, FK Kyran won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 16, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Igilik and 1.05 for FK Kyran. This points to a Igilik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Igilik
15%
Draws
42%
FK Kyran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igilik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Igilik picked up more points recently compared to FK Kyran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Igilik Clean Sheet 22%
FK Kyran Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igilik FK Kyran
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.9 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 First League
Igilik vs FK Kyran
2:1
Jul 9, 2022 First League
FK Kyran vs Igilik
7:2
Sep 26, 2021 First League
Igilik vs FK Kyran
0:4
Jun 13, 2021 First League
FK Kyran vs Igilik
6:0
Mar 24, 2019 Kazakhstan Cup
FK Kyran vs Igilik
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igilik Compare

Top Goalscorer Oksikbaev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Kyran Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuanyshbay D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igilik 43 / 100
FK Kyran 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igilik FK Kyran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Igilik or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Igilik attacking → ← attacking FK Kyran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igilik scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

FK Kyran let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Igilik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Kyran lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 19
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717