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Igilik vs Okzhetpes Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bolov R.
45' Event
Bolov R.
63' Event
Zhumakhanov S.

AI Match Summary

Okzhetpes in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Igilik
15%
Draws
57%
Okzhetpes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Igilik haven't matched Okzhetpes's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Okzhetpes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Okzhetpes here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Igilik Clean Sheet 20%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igilik Okzhetpes
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 26
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.07 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Okzhetpes
0:5
Jun 25, 2022 First League
Okzhetpes vs Igilik
5:0
Oct 29, 2021 First League
Okzhetpes vs Igilik
6:0
Apr 11, 2021 First League
Igilik vs Okzhetpes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igilik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zhumakhanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igilik 10 / 100
Okzhetpes 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igilik Okzhetpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Okzhetpes has conceded goals in 65% of their last 40 outings.

Igilik's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Igilik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Okzhetpes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Igilik

(Home)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
Page 1 of 6

Okzhetpes

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)