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Igilik vs Taraz-Karatau 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ashirbek A.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Nuraly M.
42' Event
Ashirbek A.

AI Match Summary

Taraz-Karatau 2 in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taraz-Karatau 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Igilik
15%
Draws
42%
Taraz-Karatau 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igilik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Taraz-Karatau 2 have won more games recently than Igilik.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Taraz-Karatau 2 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Igilik Clean Sheet 20%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igilik Taraz-Karatau 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Taraz-Karatau 2
0:7
Jul 23, 2022 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Igilik
1:0
Jul 19, 2021 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Igilik
3:0
Apr 26, 2021 First League
Igilik vs Taraz-Karatau 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igilik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Taraz-Karatau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuraly M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ashirbek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igilik 32 / 100
Taraz-Karatau 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igilik Taraz-Karatau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz-Karatau 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz-Karatau 2 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Taraz-Karatau 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Igilik scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Igilik VS Taraz-Karatau 2
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Igilik

(Home)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
Page 1 of 6

Taraz-Karatau 2

(Away)
05 Nov
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 0
Taraz-Karatau 2
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
22 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
2 : 4
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 1
Taraz-Karatau 2
09 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
1 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)