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Igilik vs Turkistan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Igilik Logo

Igilik

4 - 5
FT
Turkistan Logo

Turkistan

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Abuov Z.
18' Event
Zhasanov E.
20' Event
Abdibaitov Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turkistan in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turkistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Igilik
15%
Draws
0%
Turkistan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igilik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Igilik have won more games recently than Turkistan.
  • Win probability leans Igilik's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Igilik Clean Sheet 20%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igilik Turkistan
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.07 0.69
Goals Conceded 2.9 3.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Turkistan
4:5
Apr 17, 2022 First League
Turkistan vs Igilik
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igilik Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdibaitov Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oksikbaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Turkistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abuov Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhasanov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igilik 67 / 100
Turkistan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igilik Turkistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igilik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Turkistan conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Turkistan has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Igilik scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Turkistan
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Igilik

(Home)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
Page 1 of 6

Turkistan

(Away)
24 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
3 : 0
Turkistan
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Oct
Aktobe 2
3 : 0
Turkistan
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
19 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
6 : 1
Turkistan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)