Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iguatu vs Horizonte

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello, Iguatu
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cassio
Assist: Tiaguinho
15' Event
Willian Anicete
(Penalty)
36'
Calbergue A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Iguatu
30%
Draws
8%
Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iguatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iguatu come out ahead of Horizonte on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Iguatu taking it.
  • Iguatu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iguatu, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Iguatu Clean Sheet 68%
Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iguatu Horizonte
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 14 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Cearense
Iguatu vs Horizonte
3:1
Jan 27, 2026 Cearense
Iguatu vs Horizonte
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Cearense
Iguatu vs Horizonte
1:1
Jan 12, 2019 Cearense
Iguatu vs Horizonte
1:1
Feb 3, 2018 Cearense
Iguatu vs Horizonte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iguatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

Horizonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iguatu 95 / 100
Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iguatu Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iguatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iguatu found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Horizonte let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Iguatu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iguatu VS Horizonte
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Iguatu

(Home)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
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Horizonte

(Away)
11 Feb
Iguatu
3 : 1
Horizonte
07 Feb
Horizonte
0 : 1
Floresta EC
01 Feb
Ceara
4 : 0
Horizonte
27 Jan
Iguatu
1 : 1
Horizonte
22 Jan
Horizonte
0 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Horizonte 1
Iguatu 3