Sport Picks
Iguatu vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello, Iguatu 
Match Events
44'
44'
Wendel
45'
45'
Otacilio Marcos
1'
1'
Otacilio Marcos
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iguatu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nacional-AM (Manaus) lately — more wins on the board than Iguatu.
- Win probability leans Iguatu's way, sitting at 36%.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Iguatu Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iguatu | Nacional-AM (Manaus) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Serie D
Iguatu vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Iguatu
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iguatu Compare
Top Goalscorer Otacilio Marcos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare
Top Goalscorer Wendel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iguatu 36 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iguatu Nacional-AM (Manaus)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Iguatu scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Nacional-AM (Manaus) conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Iguatu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Iguatu VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Iguatu
(Home) 25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1 Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3 Iguatu
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1 Maguary
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
30 May
Iguatu
2 : 2 Parnahyba
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1 Moto Club
Page 1 of 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Away) 16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
31 May
Manaus FC
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA -
Gama -
Uberlandia 1
ABC 0
Final
TBD -
TBD -
