Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IJsselmeervogels vs ADO 20 Heemskerk

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Mattheij J. In: van Diermen B.
Out: Mattheij J.
46'
Sub
Schuurman J. In: Scholten S.
Out: Schuurman J.
46'
Sub
Groot T. In: Hof W.
Out: Groot T.

AI Match Summary

IJsselmeervogels in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
IJsselmeervogels
6%
Draws
4%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk have won more games recently than IJsselmeervogels.
  • IJsselmeervogels are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IJsselmeervogels, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • IJsselmeervogels have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 68%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IJsselmeervogels ADO 20 Heemskerk
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:0
Jun 3, 2026 Tweede Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs IJsselmeervogels
0:7
Aug 25, 2007 KNVB Beker
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs IJsselmeervogels
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IJsselmeervogels Compare

Top Goalscorer Dkidak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

ADO 20 Heemskerk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IJsselmeervogels 95 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IJsselmeervogels ADO 20 Heemskerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IJS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

IJsselmeervogels found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

ADO 20 Heemskerk has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: IJsselmeervogels remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IJsselmeervogels VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

IJsselmeervogels

(Home)
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
10 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
06 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 0
ADO 20 Heemskerk
03 Jun
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 7
IJsselmeervogels
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Away)
06 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 0
ADO 20 Heemskerk
03 Jun
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 7
IJsselmeervogels
30 May
Lisse
0 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 May
ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 : 0
Lisse
23 May
VV DOVO
1 : 0
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk3
Lisse0
Sparta Nijkerk1
IJsselmeervogels5
Rijnvogels3
DVS '33 Ermelo2
VVSB1
Excelsior Maassluis4
Semi-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk0
IJsselmeervogels8
Rijnvogels3
Excelsior Maassluis4
Final
IJsselmeervogels3
Excelsior Maassluis2