Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IJsselmeervogels vs DEM

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Beers J.
34' Event
Dkidak A.
72' Event
Knuiman D.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between IJsselmeervogels and DEM finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IJsselmeervogels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
IJsselmeervogels
15%
Draws
20%
DEM
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IJsselmeervogels come out ahead of DEM on wins alone.
  • Model gives IJsselmeervogels a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • IJsselmeervogels have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 20%
DEM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IJsselmeervogels DEM
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs DEM
6:0
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
DEM vs IJsselmeervogels
0:2
May 18, 2024 Derde Divisie
DEM vs IJsselmeervogels
2:0
Dec 9, 2023 Derde Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs DEM
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IJsselmeervogels Compare

Top Goalscorer Dkidak A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Beers J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

DEM Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IJsselmeervogels 85 / 100
DEM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IJsselmeervogels DEM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IJsselmeervogels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DEM has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

IJsselmeervogels scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: IJsselmeervogels stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IJsselmeervogels VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

IJsselmeervogels

(Home)
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
05 Sept
VV Kloetinge
0 : 2
IJsselmeervogels
29 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 1
RKAV Volendam
22 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 1
Quick Boys
15 Aug
Kozakken Boys
1 : 2
IJsselmeervogels
Page 1 of 6

DEM

(Away)
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5
RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2
DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2
Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0
DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)