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IJsselmeervogels vs Spakenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IJsselmeervogels host Spakenburg in the Tweede Divisie. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: IJsselmeervogels at 1.79 goals for, 1.52 against; Spakenburg at 1.66 for, 1.76 against. Past meetings favor Spakenburg slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.19, favoring IJsselmeervogels. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IJsselmeervogels
15%
Draws
34%
Spakenburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IJsselmeervogels lately — more wins on the board than Spakenburg.
  • IJsselmeervogels are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 20%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IJsselmeervogels Spakenburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Spakenburg
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs IJsselmeervogels
1:0
Apr 22, 2023 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Spakenburg
4:1
Nov 5, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs IJsselmeervogels
1:1
May 14, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs IJsselmeervogels
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IJsselmeervogels 67 / 100
Spakenburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IJsselmeervogels Spakenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IJsselmeervogels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IJsselmeervogels found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Spakenburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Spakenburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IJsselmeervogels VS Spakenburg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IJsselmeervogels

(Home)
13 Oct
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
GVVV
10 Oct
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Koninklijke HFC
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
3 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
Page 1 of 6

Spakenburg

(Away)
10 Oct
Kozakken Boys
2 : 0
Spakenburg
03 Oct
Spakenburg
2 : 1
AFC
26 Sept
De Treffers
5 : 0
Spakenburg
22 Sept
RKAV Volendam
3 : 2
Spakenburg
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 9 8 0 1 28:6 24
2 Kozakken Boys 9 6 2 1 25:12 20
3 De Treffers 9 5 3 1 24:9 18
4 IJsselmeervogels 9 5 1 3 12:8 16
5 GVVV 9 5 0 4 21:18 15
6 Hardenberg 9 4 3 2 18:15 15
7 Barendrecht 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
8 AFC 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
9 Spakenburg 9 4 1 4 11:14 13
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 3 3 24:19 12
11 RKAV Volendam 9 3 3 3 18:19 12
12 Katwijk 9 3 2 4 11:19 11
13 Jong Almere City 9 3 1 5 19:18 10
14 Rijnsburgse Boys 9 3 1 5 16:26 10
15 HSV Hoek 9 2 3 4 11:15 9
16 VV Kloetinge 9 1 4 4 14:24 7
17 Koninklijke HFC 9 1 3 5 11:18 6
18 Rohda Raalte 9 0 1 8 9:31 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)