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Ikorodu City vs Barau Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

Federation Cup Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos
Ikorodu City Logo

Ikorodu City

Thu, Jun 11, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Barau Logo

Barau

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ayoola I.
49' Event
Ezeonye H.
69' Event
Atule J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ikorodu City
35%
Draws
39%
Barau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barau lately — more wins on the board than Ikorodu City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Barau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ikorodu City, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ikorodu City Clean Sheet 16%
Barau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ikorodu City Barau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Barau
0:0
Jun 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Ikorodu City vs Barau
3:2
Feb 2, 2026 NPFL
Barau vs Ikorodu City
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Barau
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ikorodu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayoola I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barau Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezeonye H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atule J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ikorodu City 36 / 100
Barau 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ikorodu City Barau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ikorodu City scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ikorodu City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Barau conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ikorodu City VS Barau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ikorodu City

(Home)
30 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 0
Ikorodu City
27 Sept
Ikorodu City
2 : 0
Rangers International
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0
Barau
13 Sept
Abia Warriors
2 : 2
Ikorodu City
Page 1 of 6

Barau

(Away)
26 Sept
Sporting Lagos
1 : 1
Barau
23 Sept
Barau
2 : 0
Abia Warriors
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0
Barau
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
06 Sept
Kun Khalifa
0 : 0
Barau
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Kwara 0
Sokoto United 1
De Sapele Lion 0
Adamawa Utd 1
Bendel 3
Crown FC 1
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Akwa United 1
Shooting 1
Kada Warriors 2
Wikki Tourists 3
Bayelsa United 1
Bida Lions 2
Warri Wolves 0
Flight FC Gboko 2
Mighty Jets 1
Rivers United 3
Rangers International 2
Ejigbo City 0
Nasarawa United 3
Kogi United 0
Plateau United 1
Ingas 1
Basira 2
Ikorodu City 2
Jigawa Golden Stars 0
Enyimba International 1
Gombe 0
Sunshine Stars U19 2
Warinje 1
Barau 1
Abakaliki 0
1/8-finals
Sokoto United 2
Adamawa Utd 0
Bendel 3
El Kanemi Warriors 4
Kada Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 3
Bida Lions 0
Flight FC Gboko 1
Rivers United 2
Nasarawa United 3
Plateau United 2
Basira 1
Ikorodu City 2
Enyimba International 1
Sunshine Stars U19 1
Barau 2
Quarter-finals
Sokoto United 0
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 2
Flight FC Gboko 1
Nasarawa United 2
Plateau United 1
Ikorodu City 3
Barau 2
Semi-finals
El Kanemi Warriors 3
Wikki Tourists 1
Nasarawa United 1
Ikorodu City 2
Final
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Ikorodu City 0