Sport Picks
Ikorodu City vs Barau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Nigeria
NPFL 
Match Events
33'
33'
Wisdom S.
38'
38'
Okagube O. K.
46'
46'
Sub
Ezeonye H. In: Ayoola I.
Out: Ezeonye H.
AI Match Summary
The NPFL game between Ikorodu City and Barau finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ikorodu City come out ahead of Barau on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ikorodu City Clean Sheet 18%
Barau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ikorodu City | Barau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Barau
0:0
Jun 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Ikorodu City vs Barau
3:2
Feb 2, 2026 NPFL
Barau vs Ikorodu City
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Barau
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ikorodu City 32 / 100
Barau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ikorodu City Barau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ikorodu City's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Ikorodu City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Barau let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ikorodu City VS Barau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ikorodu City
(Home) 10 Oct
Ikorodu City
2 : 0 Kwara
04 Oct
Rivers United
2 : 0 Ikorodu City
30 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 0 Ikorodu City
27 Sept
Ikorodu City
2 : 0 Rangers International
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1 Ikorodu City
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Ikorodu City
2 : 0 Kwara
27 Sept
Ikorodu City
2 : 0 Rangers International
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0 Barau
30 Aug
Ikorodu City
3 : 1 Ranchers Bees
11 Jun
Ikorodu City
3 : 2 Barau
Page 1 of 4
Barau
(Away) 04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1 Barau
26 Sept
Sporting Lagos
1 : 1 Barau
23 Sept
Barau
2 : 0 Abia Warriors
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0 Barau
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1 Ranchers Bees
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1 Barau
26 Sept
Sporting Lagos
1 : 1 Barau
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0 Barau
06 Sept
Kun Khalifa
0 : 0 Barau
11 Jun
Ikorodu City
3 : 2 Barau
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Barau | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Bendel | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Katsina Utd | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Kwara | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 13 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Shooting | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | Enyimba International | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
