Sport Picks

Nigeria

NPFL Mobolaji Johnson Arena

Kano Pillars

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ikorodu City play Kano Pillars in the NPFL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ikorodu City averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Kano Pillars averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Ikorodu City won 3, Kano Pillars won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Ikorodu City and 1.69 for Kano Pillars. This points to a Ikorodu City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Ikorodu City

15%

Draws

37%

Kano Pillars

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ikorodu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Ikorodu City picked up more points recently compared to Kano Pillars.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Ikorodu City Clean Sheet 13%

Kano Pillars Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ikorodu City	Kano Pillars
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	17	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.31	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 NPFL

Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Nov 24, 2025 NPFL

Kano Pillars vs Ikorodu City

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Jan 29, 2025 NPFL

Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

4:1

Sep 8, 2024 NPFL

Kano Pillars vs Ikorodu City

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Sep 10, 2016 NPFL

Ikorodu City vs Kano Pillars

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ikorodu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Arumala J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oyedokun T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Kano Pillars Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ikorodu City 46 / 100

Kano Pillars 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ikorodu City Kano Pillars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ikorodu City or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ikorodu City attacking → ← attacking Kano Pillars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ikorodu City scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Kano Pillars let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ikorodu City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kano Pillars lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 43

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rangers International	38	19	11	8	47:27	68
2	Rivers United	38	19	10	9	44:31	67
3	Shooting	38	18	6	14	41:40	60
4	Ikorodu City	38	16	10	12	43:39	58
5	Bendel	38	14	14	10	44:38	56
6	Nasarawa United	38	16	8	14	37:34	56
7	Abia Warriors	38	16	7	15	31:34	55
8	Barau	38	13	13	12	34:30	52
9	Katsina Utd	38	14	10	14	36:39	52
10	Plateau United	38	15	5	18	39:40	50
11	Enyimba International	38	13	10	15	44:42	49
12	Kun Khalifa	38	13	10	15	42:40	49
13	Warri Wolves	38	13	10	15	36:41	49
14	Niger Tornadoes	38	13	9	16	37:36	48
15	Kano Pillars	38	15	6	17	34:39	48
16	Kwara	38	13	11	14	32:36	47
17	Remo Stars	38	14	5	19	42:47	47
18	El Kanemi Warriors	38	13	8	17	27:46	47
19	Bayelsa United	38	11	10	17	37:42	43
20	Wikki Tourists	38	9	13	16	36:48	40