Sport Picks

Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023

Ilaoa and To'omata

0 - 13

Lupe ole Soaga

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Taualai V.

25'

Toni L.

35'

Tumua Leo J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2023 game between Ilaoa and To'omata and Lupe ole Soaga finished 0-13, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lupe ole Soaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ilaoa and To'omata

Draws

90%

Lupe ole Soaga

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lupe ole Soaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Lupe ole Soaga carry the better recent record into this one.
Lupe ole Soaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Ilaoa and To'omata Clean Sheet 10%

Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilaoa and To'omata	Lupe ole Soaga
Matches Played	2	29
Wins	0	11
Draws	0	3
Losses	2	15
Goals Scored	0	2.88
Goals Conceded	7	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	7.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 OFC Champions League

Ilaoa and To'omata vs Lupe ole Soaga

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

0:13

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilaoa and To'omata Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Tumua Leo J.

5 Goals

Assists Leader Toni L.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilaoa and To'omata 10 / 100

Lupe ole Soaga 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilaoa and To'omata Lupe ole Soaga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 13.00 goals.

Lupe ole Soaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Lupe ole Soaga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ilaoa and To'omata scored in 0% of their last 2 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilaoa and To'omata VS Lupe ole Soaga

0 Goals Scored 2.88

7 Goals Conceded 2.13

67% Over 1.5 88%

67% Over 2.5 63%

67% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Lupe ole Soaga	3	3	0	29:1	9
2	Tupapa	3	2	1	10:7	6
3	Veitongo	2	0	2	0:10	0
4	Ilaoa and To'omata	2	0	2	0:21	0