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Ilaoa and To'omata vs Lupe ole Soaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023
Ilaoa and To'omata Logo

Ilaoa and To'omata

0 - 13
FT
Lupe ole Soaga Logo

Lupe ole Soaga

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Taualai V.
25' Event
Toni L.
35' Event
Tumua Leo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2023 game between Ilaoa and To'omata and Lupe ole Soaga finished 0-13, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lupe ole Soaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ilaoa and To'omata
25%
Draws
35%
Lupe ole Soaga
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ilaoa and To'omata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lupe ole Soaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lupe ole Soaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ilaoa and To'omata Clean Sheet 10%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilaoa and To'omata Lupe ole Soaga
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 0 2.83
Goals Conceded 10.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 OFC Champions League
Ilaoa and To'omata vs Lupe ole Soaga
0:13

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilaoa and To'omata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Tumua Leo J.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Toni L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilaoa and To'omata 10 / 100
Lupe ole Soaga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilaoa and To'omata Lupe ole Soaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupe ole Soaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 13.00 goals.

Lupe ole Soaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Lupe ole Soaga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ilaoa and To'omata scored in 0% of their last 2 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilaoa and To'omata VS Lupe ole Soaga
0 Goals Scored 2.88
7 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilaoa and To'omata

(Home)
21 Feb
Tupapa
8 : 0
Ilaoa and To'omata
18 Feb
Ilaoa and To'omata
0 : 13
Lupe ole Soaga

Lupe ole Soaga

(Away)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lupe ole Soaga 3 3 0 0 29:1 9
2 Tupapa 3 2 0 1 10:7 6
3 Veitongo 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Ilaoa and To'omata 2 0 0 2 0:21 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Main)