Sport Picks
Ilicitano vs Colonia Moscardo
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Felipe P.
74'
74'
Segovia D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colonia Moscardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ilicitano have won more games recently than Colonia Moscardo.
- Colonia Moscardo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 18%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilicitano | Colonia Moscardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs Colonia Moscardo
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Ilicitano
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilicitano Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Colonia Moscardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Segovia D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilicitano 28 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilicitano Colonia Moscardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ilicitano's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Colonia Moscardo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Ilicitano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ilicitano VS Colonia Moscardo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilicitano
(Home) 05 Aug
UD Ibiza
3 : 1 Ilicitano
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3 Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
CD Coria
4 : 0 Ilicitano
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Tenerife B
1 : 3 Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3 Quintanar del Rey
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
04 Apr
Ilicitano
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
22 Mar
Ilicitano
2 : 3 CF Fuenlabrada
11 Mar
Ilicitano
2 : 2 Getafe B
Page 1 of 3
Colonia Moscardo
(Away) 03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0 Navalcarnero
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 Orihuela
05 Apr
Getafe B
0 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
05 Apr
Getafe B
0 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
28 Mar
San Sebastian Reyes
2 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
15 Mar
Conquense
3 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
