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Ilioupoli vs Ellas Syrou

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kolimatsis C.
45' Event
Kolimatsis C.

AI Match Summary

Ellas Syrou in this Super League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellas Syrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Ilioupoli
30%
Draws
62%
Ellas Syrou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ellas Syrou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ellas Syrou lately — more wins on the board than Ilioupoli.
  • Model gives Ellas Syrou a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 17%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilioupoli Ellas Syrou
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.6 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Ellas Syrou
0:2
Mar 1, 2026 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs Ilioupoli
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs Ilioupoli
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Ellas Syrou
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilioupoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ellas Syrou Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolimatsis C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilioupoli 10 / 100
Ellas Syrou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilioupoli Ellas Syrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellas Syrou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellas Syrou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Ilioupoli found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Ilioupoli has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilioupoli VS Ellas Syrou
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilioupoli

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
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Ellas Syrou

(Away)
27 Sept
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Pyrgos
19 Sept
Zakynthos
1 : 4
Ellas Syrou
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
24 Aug
Ellas Syrou
1 : 2
Marko
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