Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iliria Kruja vs Apolonia Fier

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Yakubu A.
71' Event
Ange M.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Iliria Kruja and Apolonia Fier finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iliria Kruja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Iliria Kruja
22%
Draws
18%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Iliria Kruja's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Apolonia Fier have produced (0.63).
  • Win probability leans Iliria Kruja's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 68%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Apolonia Fier
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Apolonia Fier
2:0
Oct 28, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Iliria Kruja
0:0
Jan 25, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Apolonia Fier
0:1
Oct 5, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Iliria Kruja
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iliria Kruja Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakubu A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ange M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Apolonia Fier Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 68 / 100
Apolonia Fier 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iliria Kruja found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Apolonia Fier conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Iliria Kruja has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Apolonia Fier lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Apolonia Fier
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2
Besa Kavaje
03 May
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 6

Apolonia Fier

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laci33247260:2379
2Skenderbeu Korca33245457:2577
3Pogradeci33208563:3168
4Iliria Kruja3311121032:3345
5Besa Kavaje331091441:4339
6Kastrioti331161644:5739
7Burreli339101427:4537
8Korabi Peshkopi338121331:3936
9AF Luftetari337131337:4334
10Kukesi33871831:5031
11Apolonia Fier336101731:4428
12Lushnja335111726:4726
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)