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Iliria Kruja vs Besa Kavaje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

84'
Hasani E.
85' Event
Mavanga D. J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Iliria Kruja and Besa Kavaje finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iliria Kruja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Iliria Kruja
35%
Draws
34%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Besa Kavaje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Besa Kavaje's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 16%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Iliria Kruja vs Besa Kavaje
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Besa Kavaje
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Iliria Kruja
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Feb 1, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Iliria Kruja
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 15 / 100
Besa Kavaje 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Iliria Kruja stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Iliria Kruja scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Besa Kavaje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Besa Kavaje
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 6

Besa Kavaje

(Away)
07 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 1
KS Devolli
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)