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Iliria Kruja vs KF Oriku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iliria Kruja host KF Oriku in the Kategoria e Parë. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Iliria Kruja at 1.07 goals for, 1.11 against; KF Oriku at 0.9 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, Iliria Kruja have won 1 to KF Oriku's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.81 - 0.75) back Iliria Kruja to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Iliria Kruja
30%
Draws
12%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iliria Kruja lately — more wins on the board than KF Oriku.
  • Iliria Kruja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 20%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja KF Oriku
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Iliria Kruja
2:1
Jun 21, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs KF Oriku
2:0
Feb 15, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Iliria Kruja
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs KF Oriku
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 85 / 100
KF Oriku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iliria Kruja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iliria Kruja scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: KF Oriku conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iliria Kruja remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS KF Oriku
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
24 Oct
Kastrioti
0 : 1
Iliria Kruja
17 Oct
Iliria Kruja
1 : 0
Burreli
11 Oct
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Iliria Kruja
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
Page 1 of 6

KF Oriku

(Away)
28 Oct
Pogradeci
0 : 0
KF Oriku
24 Oct
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 1
KF Oriku
16 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 4
Flamurtari
11 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Oriku
07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kukesi 8 5 0 3 11:8 15
2 Iliria Kruja 8 4 3 1 9:6 15
3 Besa Kavaje 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
4 Pogradeci 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
5 Flamurtari 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
6 Bylis 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
7 Beselidhja Lezha 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
8 Korabi Peshkopi 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
9 Kastrioti 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
10 Sopoti Librazhd 8 1 4 3 10:17 7
11 Burreli 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
12 KF Oriku 8 0 2 6 3:16 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)